Your market uncertainty partner

Patience can pay off

Even after the two worst drawdowns in the last 25 years (tech bubble and financial crisis), investors who avoided selling would have likely recovered their losses within 5 years or less.

Market charts
Amounts shown are in USD. For illustrative purposes only.

Returns are not symmetrical

It becomes increasingly difficult to break-even on investments following a substantial drawdown, making downside protection an important consideration.

The diagram with Returns are not symmetrical
Amounts shown are in USD. For illustrative purposes only.

Historical volatility

Recent volatility occurred quickly but is still within historical norms. Despite an average intra-year drawdown of 15% over the last 20 years, the S&P 500 finished positive in 15 of 20 years.

Historic volatility chart
Amounts shown are in USD. For illustrative purposes only.

Strategies to consider in a recession - ETFs

Latest insights from our investment teams

Multi-Asset
economic uncertainty
June 2022

June Monthly Market Commentary: The Economy to Face Increasing Chill, not a Hurricane

Expectations for Fed and Bank of Canada (BoC) tightening continue to firm up as monetary stimulus is getting removed at a quick pace to lean against excessive inflationary pressures. Rising rates should weigh on the growth outlook and equity valuation, but we do not expect a recession over the next 6 to 9 months.
Multi-Asset
economic uncertainty
May 2022

May Monthly MAST Commentary: Rising commodity prices continue to support the inflation outlook while supply-chains are still exposed to disruptions

Monetary stimulus from the U.S. Federal Reserve (the “Fed”) and Bank of Canada (BoC) is getting removed at a quick pace to lean against excessive inflationary pressures. Rising rates should weigh on the growth outlook and equity valuation, but we do not expect a recession over the next 12 months.
Multi-Asset
economic uncertainty
April 2022

April Monthly MAST Commentary: Fear of War is Coming Down, but Fear Over the Fed’s Soft-landing is Rising

The conflict in Ukraine keeps on raging, but fear of an escalation has come down. However, the impact on commodity prices will continue as prices remain elevated and long-term supply remains an issue, most notably for Europe and other commodity importing countries.
April 2022

Value Hunting: The Return of Cautious Optimism

With macroeconomic data telling two different stories—one of low unemployment and robust earnings, another of high inflation and rising interest rates—Luke Casey of Pyrford International provides an inside look at the investing factor that’s making a surprise comeback: Value.
April 2022

A Portfolio Manager’s Guide to War and Conflict

With Russia’s recent invasion of Ukraine, institutional investors are once again questioning the historical relationship between war and capital markets.
April 2022

Riding the $100T Renewables Infrastructure Wave

Joe Idaszak, Portfolio Manager, Brookfield Public Securities Group (PSG) offers his take on why institutional investors interested in the “E” of ESG should consider investing in the one specific area with $100 trillion of global investments expected by 2050: renewables infrastructure.
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Disclosures

Commissions, management fees and expenses (if applicable) may be associated with investments in mutual funds and exchange traded funds (ETFs). Trailing commissions may be associated with investments in mutual funds. Please read the fund facts, ETF Facts or prospectus before investing. Mutual funds and ETFs are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated.

For a summary of the risks of an investment in BMO Mutual Funds or BMO ETFs, please see the specific risks set out in the prospectus of the relevant mutual fund or ETF . BMO ETFs trade like stocks, fluctuate in market value and may trade at a discount to their net asset value, which may increase the risk of loss. Distributions are not guaranteed and are subject to change and/or elimination.