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And so the merry-go-round continues. Government debt piles up whilst interest rates sink well below the prevailing rate of inflation. Real yields? A fading memory.
Supply shortages are fueling inflation fears, but with global trade thriving, we think supply shortages are mostly driven by the consumption binge of U.S. consumers.
That is the question that continues to dominate markets.
Two concerns are top of mind for investors: inflation overheating and peak economic growth.
As the global economy emerges from the pandemic, central banks are starting to reduce emergency stimulus.
The recovery continues to pick up speed, particularly in the U.S. and the U.K. where both nations have successfully vaccinated a majority of the population.
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